ROCKLAND COUNTY, NY — A new Siena College Poll released today shows Governor Kathy Hochul maintaining commanding leads over all three potential Republican challengers in hypothetical 2026 New York gubernatorial match-ups. The poll shows Rockland’s Congressman Mike Lawler outperforming Stefanik versus Hochul in the general election.
According to the poll of registered voters across the state, Hochul leads Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman 44-19%, Representative Elise Stefanik 47-24%, and Representative Mike Lawler 44-24%. These results are largely unchanged from May, indicating a stable political landscape heading into the second half of 2025.
“A first look at how New York voters feel about potential gubernatorial matchups shows that partisanship wins out,” said Siena College Research Institute Director Don Levy. “Hochul leads Lawler by 20 points, Stefanik by 23 points, and Blakeman by 25 points.”
Democrats and Republicans Show Clear Preferences for 2026
Among Democratic voters, Hochul remains the overwhelming favorite in a possible primary scenario, garnering 49% support. She is well ahead of Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado (12%) and Representative Ritchie Torres (10%). These numbers are virtually unchanged from last month’s Siena poll.
On the Republican side, voters are rallying most strongly behind Elise Stefanik, who leads the GOP field with 35% support, compared to Mike Lawler’s 18% and Bruce Blakeman’s 7%.